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North Korea & Trump - Recipe for Disaster? (STA BREAKING NEWS and ARCHIVES)

by chazzz @, USA, Friday, July 07, 2017, 11:11 @ FordPrefect

I am fully in agreement that despite the bluster and hype Kim Jong Un has no intent to attack the USA or South Korea or Japan unless he is responding to an attack. It's not that he and his government and good guys, its that they cannot afford to be unrealistic. If they commited such a first strike attack they would get an overwhelming response, possibly a nuclear response from the USA.

The problem for US interests is that a moderate sized arsenal of nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them to the USA means he has a working deterrent against attack from the USA or its allies. That government saw what happened to Iraq, a government with a large conventional military force. They learned from that - But not the lesson we wished they had learned. For that reason the Kim family and North Korea will never give up their nuclear capabilities or long range rocket program. And it was mostly developed internally, so no other country can take it away from them.

A rational aproach would be to accept the inevitable and give North Korea at least some of what it wants - Recognition and a policy of coordination to prevent any accidents or misunderstandings leading to an attack on either such as was done with the Soviet Union and in exchange some type of guarantee that North Korea will not export nuclear or rocket technology.

My worry is that over-confidence in our military and in the White House might see this as their last and best chance to take out a worrisome adversary in North Korea. Most of the collateral damage would be to the two Koreas with a small but very scary risk of an attack on US facilities or just possibly to a US West Coast city via a "kamikaze nuclear equipped submarine."


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